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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216834 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,241 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013216834 covers the Santo Tomas area of Scottsdale, home to 3,241 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 30th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

22% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $140,069 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 19% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share24.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$140,069

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Santo Tomas
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#602 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5550, -111.9180 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santo Tomas scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Santo Tomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santo Tomas risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 216834Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168342001: 3 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216834

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216834?

Census tract 04013216834 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216834?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216834?

23.2% of residents in tract 04013216834 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216834?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 93th, minority 53th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216834 considered part of Santo Tomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216834 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216834?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013216834 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.51% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216834 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216834 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216834 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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