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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216835 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is Santo Tomas in Scottsdale for landlords? Census tract 04013216835 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,136 monthly, set against $96,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,464
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$96,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Santo Tomas
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#603 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5461, -111.9138 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santo Tomas scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,136 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Santo Tomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santo Tomas risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 216835Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 444Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 31.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.9%Peak (2003)
  • 51Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168352001: 93 filings (32.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 92 filings (32.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 131 filings (45.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 77 filings (27.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (21.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216835

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216835?

Census tract 04013216835 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216835?

Median gross rent is $2,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216835?

14.4% of residents in tract 04013216835 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,549.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216835?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 33th, minority 29th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216835 considered part of Santo Tomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216835 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216835?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 444 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216835 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.93% of renter households, peaking at 45.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216835 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216835 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216835 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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