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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 9,345 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–3.3

Santo Tomas spans 3 census tracts of Scottsdale, AZ, population 9,345. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $3,129, 55% above the Scottsdale average of $2,013.

The voucher gap is 60.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 8.9/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.3/10.

29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.8/10. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Filings are well documented here: 461 across 3 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 45.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 9.8% in 2005, is well off that peak.

That places it #7 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Santo Tomas vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.0% -1%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$3,129 +55%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$156,881 +46%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
12.9% +81%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
25.1% -24%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santo Tomas and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.3

Why Santo Tomas scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–5.6 across tracts
3.7
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–2.5 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 1.5–2.2 across tracts
1.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.4 across tracts
2.2
Economic stress
12.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.8 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–10.0 across tracts
8.9
Risk score comparison

Santo Tomas vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Santo Tomas score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Santo Tomas: 3.23.2Santo TomasNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Santo Tomas?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 3 to 3.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Santo Tomas

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013216834 3.3 3,241 22% $3,501
04013216835 3.3 2,549 40% $2,136
04013105004 3 3,555 28% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Santo Tomas

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 461Total filings (sum)
  • 12.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.9%Peak year (2003)
  • 8.79%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Santo Tomas

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Santo Tomas

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Santo Tomas compare to Scottsdale overall?

Santo Tomas scores 0.0 points higher than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $3,129 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in Santo Tomas?

Average gross rent in Santo Tomas is $3,129/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Santo Tomas residents are renters?

25% of Santo Tomas households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 9,345 residents.
Q5

Is Santo Tomas a high social-vulnerability area?

Santo Tomas sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Santo Tomas have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Santo Tomas is census tract 04013216834 (score 3.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Santo Tomas for landlords?

Santo Tomas carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas has 9,214 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Santo Tomas

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Santo Tomas.

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