Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 9,345 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 1.2–2.7

Santo Tomas is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Scottsdale with 3 census tracts and a population of 9,345 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,129/month sits 55% higher than the Scottsdale citywide average ($2,013).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Santo Tomas vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.0% -1%

Scottsdale: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$3,129 +55%

Scottsdale: $2,013

Average HH income

$156,881 +46%

Scottsdale: $107,372

Poverty rate

12.9% +81%

Scottsdale: 7.1%

Renter share

25.1% -24%

Scottsdale: 33.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santo Tomas and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.2–2.7

Why Santo Tomas scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–5.6 across tracts

3.7

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts

1.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–2.5 across tracts

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

25% renter households · Range 1.5–2.2 across tracts

1.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.4 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

12.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.8 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–10.0 across tracts

8.9

Risk score comparison

Santo Tomas vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Santo Tomas?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 1.2 to 2.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.7 2.7 1.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Santo Tomas

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013216834	2.7	3,241	22%	$3,501
04013216835	2.7	2,549	40%	$2,136
04013105004	1.2	3,555	28%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 52%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 30%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Santo Tomas

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

461Total filings (sum)
12.15%Avg annual filing rate
45.9%Peak year (2003)
8.79%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Santo Tomas

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

4.8%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
27.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Santo Tomas

What is the eviction-risk score for Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Santo Tomas compare to Scottsdale overall?

Santo Tomas scores 0.2 points lower than Scottsdale overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $3,129 vs $2,013.

What is the average rent in Santo Tomas?

Average gross rent in Santo Tomas is $3,129/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Santo Tomas residents are renters?

25% of Santo Tomas households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 9,345 residents.

Is Santo Tomas a high social-vulnerability area?

Santo Tomas sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Santo Tomas have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Santo Tomas is census tract 04013216834 (score 2.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 2.7, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Santo Tomas for landlords?

Santo Tomas carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas has 9,214 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Santo Tomas

2.2 Windemere 2 tracts · pop 7,042 2.4 Gainey Ranch 2 tracts · pop 7,486 2.1 Country Horizons 2 tracts · pop 6,553 1.9 Woodleaf 3 tracts · pop 11,758 2.2 5th Avenue Shops & Boutiques 2 tracts · pop 8,825 2.5 Woodleaf II 2 tracts · pop 7,092

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Santo Tomas.

2.1 Sands Scottsdale 1 tracts · pop 3,073 2.1 5th Avenue Shops & Boutiques 2 tracts · pop 8,825 2.1 Preston Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,900 2.1 Shadow Rock 2 tracts · pop 7,633 2.2 Gainey Ranch 2 tracts · pop 7,486 2.2 Grayhawk 1 tracts · pop 4,279

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