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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Cimarron Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013116205 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,975 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013116205 sits in the Cimarron area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 3,975 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 36% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,694
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$60,951

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Cimarron
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#191 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#334 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#599 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3814, -111.9862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cimarron scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Cimarron compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cimarron risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 116205Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,781Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 38.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 55.8%Peak (2005)
  • 489Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131162052001: 265 filings (28.16/100 renter HHs)2002: 304 filings (32.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 339 filings (36.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 384 filings (40.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 489 filings (55.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 85% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cimarron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cimarron

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 1,781 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,436, 9% below the Phoenix average.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 55.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 38.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $60,951.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116205?

Census tract 04013116205 in the Cimarron neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116205?

Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116205?

9.2% of residents in tract 04013116205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 53th, minority 84th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116205 considered part of Cimarron?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116205 fall within Cimarron (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116205?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,781 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.63% of renter households, peaking at 55.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116205 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116205 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116205 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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