Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Fowler Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013112510 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,743 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 04013112510 covers part of the Fowler area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 11%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share20.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$90,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Fowler
Moderate
Within parent city
40th percentile
#227 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
58th percentile
#427 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57th percentile
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4374, -112.2210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fowler scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,790 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Fowler compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
172Total filings over 5 yrs
10.72%Avg annual filing rate
12.0%Peak (2005)
79Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2005
Filings climbed 1,480% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.8%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
27.0%Food insecurity
17.4%SNAP enrollment
13.1%Transit barriers
24.4%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fowler
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Adults with no health insurance runs 24.4% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Food insecurity runs 27.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 172 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,790, 13% above the Phoenix average. Filings peaked in 2005 at 12.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013112510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112510?
Census tract 04013112510 in the Fowler neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013112510?
Median gross rent is $1,790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112510?
12.9% of residents in tract 04013112510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 61th, minority 92th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 04013112510 considered part of Fowler?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112510 fall within Fowler (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013112510?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 172 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013112510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.72% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013112510 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013112510 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013112510 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.