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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013107002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,854

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013107002 in Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,854. Cost burden runs 68% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 10% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$65,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5312, -112.1386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 107002Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.8% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Average gross rent is $1,283, 19% below the Phoenix average. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013107002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013107002?

Census tract 04013107002 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013107002?

Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013107002?

34.9% of residents in tract 04013107002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,854.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013107002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 78th, housing 75th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013107002 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013107002 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013107002 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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