Thunderbird Valley Number Two Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,327 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

The filing record is not thin: 1,869 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 33.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 22.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.