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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Garfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,532 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013113900 in the Garfield area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,532 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 44% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units626
Renter share92.5%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate41.1%
Median income$23,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Garfield
Elevated
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4441, -112.0389 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garfield scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
41.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$794 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Garfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 113900Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 100Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2004)
  • 18Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131139002001: 7 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2002: 18 filings (5.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 31 filings (9.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (5.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 157% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garfield

At $794 a month, rents run 50% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Food insecurity runs 52.4% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $23,232 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.3% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Court records carry 100 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113900?

Census tract 04013113900 in the Garfield neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113900?

Median gross rent is $794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113900?

41.1% of residents in tract 04013113900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,532.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 83th, minority 97th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 04013113900 considered part of Garfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113900 fall within Garfield (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 100 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.13% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013113900 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013113900 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113900 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 04013113900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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