Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013115200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,427

Census tract 04013115200 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 40.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 50% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units907
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$61,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4139, -112.0015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,206 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 115200Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 849Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 36.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.8%Peak (2001)
  • 154Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131152002001: 239 filings (42.78/100 renter HHs)2002: 184 filings (32.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 138 filings (24.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 134 filings (23.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 154 filings (56.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,206, 24% below the Phoenix average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 849 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115200?

Census tract 04013115200 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115200?

Median gross rent is $1,206/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115200?

21.9% of residents in tract 04013115200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,427.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 78th, minority 87th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 849 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.14% of renter households, peaking at 42.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013115200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013115200 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related