Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Citrus Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013116400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,913 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 04013116400 sits in the Citrus Hills area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,579
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$90,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.3851, -112.0559 · click any tract to drill in
Why Citrus Hills scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$2,152 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Citrus Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 150Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2004)
- 23Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Citrus Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.2%Food insecurity
- 23.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 25.2%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Citrus Hills
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,152, 36% above the Phoenix average.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 31.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Cost burden runs 54% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 150 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 15.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116400?
Census tract 04013116400 in the Citrus Hills neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116400?
Median gross rent is $2,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116400?
30.1% of residents in tract 04013116400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,913.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 67th, minority 91th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116400 considered part of Citrus Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116400 fall within Citrus Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 150 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.73% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013116400 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013116400 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116400 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Maryvale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Lookout Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Minnesota Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114900
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Central City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Lake Biltmore Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sunburst Homes
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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