Lone Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 35.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.3/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.9/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 22 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,831, 16% above the Phoenix average of $1,582.

3.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 8.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.8% in 2005, is well off that peak.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.