Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Triple Crown Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 12,491 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.3–3.7

Triple Crown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Phoenix with 3 census tracts and a population of 12,491 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,945/month sits 23% higher than the Phoenix citywide average ($1,582).

Risk score

2.9

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Triple Crown vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.5% -5%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,945 +23%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$121,834 +58%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

5.6% -61%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

36.4% -15%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Triple Crown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.3–3.7

Why Triple Crown scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–5.8 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Triple Crown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Triple Crown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 2.3 to 3.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

3.7 3.4 2.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Triple Crown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013619700	3.7	3,257	31%	$1,705
04013617300	3.4	2,964	53%	$2,112
04013619900	2.3	6,270	18%	$1,990

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 43%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Triple Crown

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

581Total filings (sum)
10.81%Avg annual filing rate
36.7%Peak year (2004)
8.66%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Triple Crown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.9%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
23.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Triple Crown

What is the eviction-risk score for Triple Crown?

Triple Crown scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Triple Crown compare to Phoenix overall?

Triple Crown scores 0.1 points higher than Phoenix overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,945 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in Triple Crown?

Average gross rent in Triple Crown is $1,945/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Triple Crown residents are renters?

36% of Triple Crown households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 12,491 residents.

Is Triple Crown a high social-vulnerability area?

Triple Crown sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Triple Crown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Triple Crown is census tract 04013619700 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.3 to 3.7, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is Triple Crown for landlords?

Triple Crown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Triple Crown?

Triple Crown has 12,743 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Triple Crown

2.8 Rancho Santa Fe 3 tracts · pop 7,479 3.7 Mountain Vista 4 tracts · pop 15,824 2.7 Desert Ridge 4 tracts · pop 16,071 3 Sunset Ridge I 3 tracts · pop 12,006 3.7 Mayflower Terrace 2 tracts · pop 10,048 4.7 Paradise City 3 tracts · pop 13,935

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Triple Crown.

2.9 Cobblestone Square 1 tracts · pop 2,471 2.9 Santiago 1 tracts · pop 4,608 3 Sunset Ridge I 3 tracts · pop 12,006 2.8 Greenway Park V 1 tracts · pop 5,439 3 Colony Biltmore IV 2 tracts · pop 5,899 3 Arcadia 5 tracts · pop 17,358

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