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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Desert Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 16,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Desert Ridge is a 4-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 16,071 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,456, 55% above the Phoenix average of $1,582.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

The voucher gap is 25.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.6/10.

Filings are well documented here: 140 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 11.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.0% in 2005, is well off that peak.

Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #84 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Vista del Cerro and Overland Trail score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Desert Ridge vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.7% +35%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$2,456 +55%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$134,414 +74%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
3.7% -74%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
29.7% -30%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Desert Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3

Why Desert Ridge scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.9–9.7 across tracts
7.6
Risk score comparison

Desert Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Desert Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Desert Ridge: 3.03.0Desert RidgeNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Desert Ridge?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Desert Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013615002 3 4,870 34% $2,342
04013615100 3 4,586 36% $2,871
04013103219 3 3,461 54% $2,135
04013615202 3 3,154 48% $2,379
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Desert Ridge

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 140Total filings (sum)
  • 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.8%Peak year (2001)
  • 1.80%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Desert Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Desert Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Desert Ridge?

Desert Ridge scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Desert Ridge compare to Phoenix overall?

Desert Ridge scores 0.6 points lower than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,456 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Desert Ridge?

Average gross rent in Desert Ridge is $2,456/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Desert Ridge residents are renters?

30% of Desert Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 16,071 residents.
Q5

Is Desert Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Desert Ridge sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Desert Ridge have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Desert Ridge is census tract 04013615002 (score 3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Desert Ridge for landlords?

Desert Ridge carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Desert Ridge?

Desert Ridge has 17,414 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Desert Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Desert Ridge.

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