Within neighborhood
73
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013110501 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,445 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 04013110501 in the Melrose District area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,445. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share86.2%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$54,820
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4876, -112.0785 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose District scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Melrose District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 50%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 964Total filings over 5 yrs
- 20.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.5%Peak (2003)
- 146Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.5%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose District
This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $54,820 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 964 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2003 at 25.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013110501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013110501?
Census tract 04013110501 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013110501?
Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013110501?
20.7% of residents in tract 04013110501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,445.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013110501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 15th, minority 70th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 04013110501 considered part of Melrose District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013110501 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013110501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 964 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013110501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.88% of renter households, peaking at 25.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013110501 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013110501 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013110501 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 04013110501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Ridgegate
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Paradise City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Paradise Valley Mobilhome Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Parkwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rancho Hermoso
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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