Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Park Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013116614 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,709 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

04013116614 is a census tract in the Park Phoenix area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,709. Cost burden runs 85% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 1% Owners 91%

Tract context

Occupied units1,154

Renter share9.7%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$59,829

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3813, -112.0905 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Phoenix scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,912 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Park Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.5%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
26.8%Food insecurity
17.0%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
24.4%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
31.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Phoenix

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $59,829, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,912, 21% above the Phoenix average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116614

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116614?

Census tract 04013116614 in the Park Phoenix neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013116614?

Median gross rent is $1,912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116614?

11.4% of residents in tract 04013116614 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,709.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116614?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 93th, minority 88th, housing 10th.

Is tract 04013116614 considered part of Park Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116614 fall within Park Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013116614 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013116614 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116614 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.