Within neighborhood
55
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013109002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,948 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 04013109002 sits in the Melrose District area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 3,948 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$52,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5059, -112.1062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose District scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Melrose District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,275Total filings over 5 yrs
- 14.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2002)
- 251Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.7%Food insecurity
- 23.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 21.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose District
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 29.7% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. At $1,282 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,275 filings here across 5 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013109002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109002?
Census tract 04013109002 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013109002?
Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109002?
25.0% of residents in tract 04013109002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 04013109002 considered part of Melrose District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109002 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,275 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.45% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013109002 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013109002 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013109002 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Maryvale Terrace
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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