Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Patrick Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013116000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,848 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 04013116000 in the Patrick Park area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,848 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$61,130
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.3999, -112.0386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patrick Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Patrick Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2001)
- 26Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patrick Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 17.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 17.9%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patrick Park
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,107, 30% below the Phoenix average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 173 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 11.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116000?
Census tract 04013116000 in the Patrick Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116000?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116000?
14.8% of residents in tract 04013116000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,848.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 79th, minority 86th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116000 considered part of Patrick Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116000 fall within Patrick Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.45% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013116000 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013116000 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116000 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
North Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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