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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Patrick Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013116203 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,026 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013116203 in the Patrick Park area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,026. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,511
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$88,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Patrick Park
Very Low
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#144 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#221 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3902, -112.0102 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patrick Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,705 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Patrick Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patrick Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 116203Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,307Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 52.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 56.4%Peak (2005)
  • 372Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131162032001: 150 filings (32.75/100 renter HHs)2002: 211 filings (46.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 247 filings (53.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 327 filings (71.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 372 filings (56.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 148% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patrick Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patrick Park

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1,307 evictions over 5 years of observation.

It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2005, when 56.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 52.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,705, close to the Phoenix average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $88,385.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116203?

Census tract 04013116203 in the Patrick Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116203?

Median gross rent is $1,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116203?

20.3% of residents in tract 04013116203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,026.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116203 considered part of Patrick Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116203 fall within Patrick Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,307 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 52.10% of renter households, peaking at 56.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116203 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116203 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116203 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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