Patrick Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,055, 33% below the Phoenix average. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.0% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 27.0% against 14.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The filing record is not thin: 439 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 22.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.