Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Steeplechase Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013104207 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,298 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013104207 is a census tract in the Steeplechase area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,298 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,905
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$79,947
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6326, -112.1249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Steeplechase scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Steeplechase compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 669Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.1%Peak (2004)
- 163Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 90% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Steeplechase. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Steeplechase
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 669 evictions over 5 years of observation.
At $1,355 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when 24.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $79,947.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013104207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104207?
Census tract 04013104207 in the Steeplechase neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013104207?
Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104207?
6.1% of residents in tract 04013104207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,298.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 35th, minority 39th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 04013104207 considered part of Steeplechase?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104207 fall within Steeplechase (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104207?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 669 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.79% of renter households, peaking at 24.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013104207 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013104207 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013104207 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013107001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related