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Census Tract · Ranked #13,532 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 04013082209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,146

Census tract 04013082209 is in Avondale, Arizona. It has a population of 3,146 and an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). 54% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 34% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,280/month against a median household income of $44,595 — roughly 34% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 16% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units932
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$44,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank — 90th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 20 tracts In Avondale
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank — 99th percentileBottomTop
#12 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank — 99th percentileBottomTop
#21 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
84 th percentile
Rank — 84th percentileBottomTop
#13,532 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4318, -112.2960 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 082209Avondale: 6.16.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2004)
  • 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130822092001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (6.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082209

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082209?

Census tract 04013082209 in Avondale scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082209?

Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082209?

22.2% of residents in tract 04013082209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 100th, minority 95th, housing 48th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082209?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013082209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 04013082209 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 04013082209 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082209 scores 6.3/10 — right in line with the parent city of Avondale at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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