Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013082209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,146
04013082209 is a census tract in Avondale, AZ. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,146. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4318, -112.2960 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2004)
- 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.7%Food insecurity
- 31.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.1%Transit barriers
- 38.1%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
Food insecurity runs 41.7% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $44,595, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $1,280 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Avondale commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013082209
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082209?
What is the average rent in tract 04013082209?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082209?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082209?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082209?
What share of households in tract 04013082209 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013082209 compare to Avondale overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.