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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

County Fair West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013109703 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,980 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 04013109703, home to 2,980 residents in County Fair West in Phoenix, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,165 a month while the average household earns $53,681 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 23% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$53,681

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In County Fair West
Elevated
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#118 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#318 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4875, -112.2162 · click any tract to drill in

Why County Fair West scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How County Fair West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
County Fair West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 109703Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 355Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.5%Peak (2002)
  • 60Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131097032001: 85 filings (22.85/100 renter HHs)2002: 91 filings (24.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 67 filings (18.01/100 renter HHs)2004: 52 filings (13.98/100 renter HHs)2005: 60 filings (19.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within County Fair West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in County Fair West

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 355 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.5% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109703?

Census tract 04013109703 in the County Fair West neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109703?

Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109703?

20.7% of residents in tract 04013109703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,980.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 87th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 04013109703 considered part of County Fair West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109703 fall within County Fair West (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 355 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.74% of renter households, peaking at 24.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013109703 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013109703 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109703 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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