County Fair West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,165 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Housing insecurity runs 28.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 355 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2002 at 24.5% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.