Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Park Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013116615 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,847 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 04013116615 in the Park Phoenix area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,847. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 28%Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,175
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$54,309
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Park Phoenix
High
Within parent city
97th percentile
#13 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
86th percentile
#139 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91th percentile
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.3886, -112.0905 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Phoenix scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Park Phoenix compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
83%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
27.3%Housing insecurity
16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
38.1%Food insecurity
31.0%SNAP enrollment
18.8%Transit barriers
26.8%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Phoenix
Food insecurity runs 38.1% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $54,309, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.8% against 11.3% nationally. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
At $1,728 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116615
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116615?
Census tract 04013116615 in the Park Phoenix neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116615?
Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116615?
28.1% of residents in tract 04013116615 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,847.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116615?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 96th, minority 90th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116615 considered part of Park Phoenix?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116615 fall within Park Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013116615 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013116615 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116615 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.