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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Garfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013114200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 933 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013114200 in the Garfield area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 933 residents. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 11% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units483
Renter share56.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$32,452

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Garfield
Low
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4405, -112.0737 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garfield scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,791 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Garfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 114200Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 76Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2004)
  • 15Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131142002001: 16 filings (4.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (3.96/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (5.49/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garfield

80% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Annualized rent equals 66% of average household income of $32,452, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 76 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,791 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. SNAP participation runs 22.5% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 5.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013114200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013114200?

Census tract 04013114200 in the Garfield neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013114200?

Median gross rent is $1,791/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013114200?

17.8% of residents in tract 04013114200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013114200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 30th, minority 85th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04013114200 considered part of Garfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013114200 fall within Garfield (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013114200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013114200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013114200 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013114200 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013114200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 04013114200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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