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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013082028 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,797 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Phoenix

Census tract 04013082028 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 26% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,330
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$66,151

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#36 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4688, -112.2466 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,791 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 082028Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 120Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 30.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2005)
  • 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130820282001: 20 filings (32.73/100 renter HHs)2002: 26 filings (42.54/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (29.45/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (39.27/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (6.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $66,151, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Court records carry 120 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Housing insecurity runs 21.9% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,791 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.5% of renter households.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082028

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082028?

Census tract 04013082028 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082028?

Median gross rent is $1,791/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082028?

21.4% of residents in tract 04013082028 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,797.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082028?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 84th, minority 94th, housing 37th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082028?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 120 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082028 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.10% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013082028 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013082028 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013082028 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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