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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013981000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 580 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

In the Rancho Hermoso area of Phoenix, census tract 04013981000 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #28,324 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Poverty rate100.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Rancho Hermoso
Elevated
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#242 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4550, -112.0258 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
100.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Rancho Hermoso compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho Hermoso risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 981000Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Hermoso. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Hermoso

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 42.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 37.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 1000th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013981000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013981000?

Census tract 04013981000 in the Rancho Hermoso neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013981000?

100.0% of residents in tract 04013981000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 580.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013981000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 64th, housing -1000th.
Q4

Is tract 04013981000 considered part of Rancho Hermoso?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013981000 fall within Rancho Hermoso (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013981000 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013981000 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013981000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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