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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013105004 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,555 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Eviction risk in the Santo Tomas neighborhood of Scottsdale centers on tract 04013105004, which scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,555 residents. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $215,324 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 6% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,367
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$215,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Santo Tomas
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Scottsdale
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#965 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,712 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5442, -111.9413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santo Tomas scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.4

How Santo Tomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santo Tomas risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 105004Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131050042001: 1 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (20.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (6.86/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.6% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013105004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013105004?

Census tract 04013105004 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013105004?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013105004?

2.5% of residents in tract 04013105004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,555.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013105004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 28th, minority 40th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 04013105004 considered part of Santo Tomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013105004 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013105004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013105004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.58% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013105004 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013105004 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013105004 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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