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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Veramonte Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061038 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,984 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013061038 sits in the Veramonte area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$101,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Veramonte
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Very High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#413 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.5877, -112.3850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Veramonte scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,084 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Veramonte compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Veramonte risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 061038Surprise: 3.23.2Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 410.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 58.2%Peak (2005)
  • 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610382001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (762.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (58.15/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Veramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Veramonte

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 58.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 410.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,084, close to the Surprise average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $101,940.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061038

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061038?

Census tract 04013061038 in the Veramonte neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061038?

Median gross rent is $2,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061038?

19.2% of residents in tract 04013061038 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061038?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 88th, minority 66th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061038 considered part of Veramonte?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061038 fall within Veramonte (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061038?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013061038 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 410.41% of renter households, peaking at 58.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061038 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061038 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061038 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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