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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Veramonte Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061039 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,728 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 04013061039 reflects conditions in the Veramonte neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. On the national scale it ranks #53,324 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,337 monthly, set against $135,721 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,918
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$135,721

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Veramonte
Very Low
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#939 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#1,683 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.5956, -112.3613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Veramonte scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,337 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Veramonte compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Veramonte risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 061039Surprise: 2.42.4Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.8%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610392001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.81/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Veramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Veramonte

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.8% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061039

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061039?

Census tract 04013061039 in the Veramonte neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061039?

Median gross rent is $2,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061039?

5.3% of residents in tract 04013061039 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,728.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061039?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 33th, minority 56th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061039 considered part of Veramonte?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061039 fall within Veramonte (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061039?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013061039 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.81% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061039 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061039 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061039 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Surprise at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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