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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Veramonte Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061039 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,728 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 04013061039 sits in the Veramonte area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,918
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$135,721

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Veramonte
Very Low
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Moderate
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#615 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.5956, -112.3613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Veramonte scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,337 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Veramonte compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Veramonte risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061039Surprise: 3.23.2Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.8%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610392001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.81/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Veramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Veramonte

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The voucher gap is 19.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $2,337, 15% above the Surprise average. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 0.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061039

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061039?

Census tract 04013061039 in the Veramonte neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061039?

Median gross rent is $2,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061039?

5.3% of residents in tract 04013061039 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,728.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061039?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 33th, minority 56th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061039 considered part of Veramonte?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061039 fall within Veramonte (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061039?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013061039 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.81% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061039 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061039 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061039 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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