Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower
3 census tracts · pop 12,376 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3–3.7
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is a 3-tract neighborhood of Sun City, AZ and houses 12,376 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 66% against 42.0% citywide, putting Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor 23.5% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 2/10. Filings are well documented here: 556 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 49.5% of renter households.
SNAP participation is 6.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 9.8% of adults, 8.0 points below the national rate.
Average gross rent is $1,713, 9% above the Sun City average of $1,569. The most recent observed rate, 10.4% in 2005, is well off that peak.
Its 3 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $65,348.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor vs Sun CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
556Total filings (sum)
14.68%Avg annual filing rate
49.5%Peak year (2004)
10.46%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.6%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
35.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor compare to Sun City overall?
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 0.3 points higher than Sun City overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,713 vs $1,569.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?
Average gross rent in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is $1,713/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor residents are renters?
39% of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Sun City). The neighborhood has 12,376 residents.
Q5
Is Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is census tract 04013071516 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor for landlords?
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sun City as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor has 12,341 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Hispanic / Latino (15.3%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
