Neighborhood · Sun City, AZ

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 12,376 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.5–3.1

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Sun City with 3 census tracts and a population of 12,376 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 66% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,713/month sits 9% higher than the Sun City citywide average ($1,569).

Risk score

2.9

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor vs Sun City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.5% +56%

Sun City: 42.0%

Average gross rent

$1,713 +9%

Sun City: $1,569

Average HH income

$65,348 +22%

Sun City: $53,764

Poverty rate

8.1% -33%

Sun City: 12.2%

Renter share

39.3% +148%

Sun City: 15.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.5–3.1

Why Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–5.6 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

66% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–2.5 across tracts

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

39% renter households · Range 1.2–2.0 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.5 across tracts

2.2

Economic stress

8.1% below poverty line · Range 1.9–2.2 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–4.0 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 2.5 to 3.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.1 3.1 2.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013071516	3.1	4,363	66%	$1,744
04013071506	3.1	4,123	64%	$1,638
04013071515	2.5	3,890	66%	$1,757

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 52%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 59%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

556Total filings (sum)
14.68%Avg annual filing rate
49.5%Peak year (2004)
10.46%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
35.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor

What is the eviction-risk score for Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor compare to Sun City overall?

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 0.4 points higher than Sun City overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,713 vs $1,569.

What is the average rent in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?

Average gross rent in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is $1,713/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor residents are renters?

39% of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Sun City). The neighborhood has 12,376 residents.

Is Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor is census tract 04013071516 (score 3.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 3.1, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor for landlords?

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sun City as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?

Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor has 12,341 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Hispanic / Latino (15.3%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor

3.1 Bristle Manor 2 tracts · pop 10,393 3.3 Peacock Village 4 tracts · pop 17,001 2 Weedville 2 tracts · pop 6,944 2.8 Westbrook Village 7 tracts · pop 28,040 4.1 Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort 3 tracts · pop 9,534 3.2 Lexington Place 3 tracts · pop 10,427

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