Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Happy Trails Resort Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061061 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,948 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 04013061061 sits in the Happy Trails Resort area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,948. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,365

Renter share25.8%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate4.4%

Median income$107,882

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6316, -112.4309 · click any tract to drill in

Why Happy Trails Resort scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

4.4% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,861 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Happy Trails Resort compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

19%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
9.6%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
25.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Happy Trails Resort

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. At $1,861 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Surprise commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $107,882.

26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061061

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061061?

Census tract 04013061061 in the Happy Trails Resort neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061061?

Median gross rent is $1,861/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061061?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013061061 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,948.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061061?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 32th, minority 57th, housing 7th.

Is tract 04013061061 considered part of Happy Trails Resort?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061061 fall within Happy Trails Resort (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061061 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061061 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061061 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.