Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Kingswood Parke Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013040529 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,302 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 04013040529 sits in the Kingswood Parke area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,302 residents. The severe-burden share is 52%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,997
Renter share16.7%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$86,319
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6642, -112.3937 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kingswood Parke scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,221 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0
How Kingswood Parke compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2004)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kingswood Parke. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 2.3%Housing insecurity
- 1.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.6%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 2.9%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 7.3%Frequent mental distress
- 37.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kingswood Parke
75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 2.3% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation. The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Average gross rent is $2,221, 9% above the Surprise average.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 1.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013040529
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040529?
Census tract 04013040529 in the Kingswood Parke neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013040529?
Median gross rent is $2,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040529?
7.1% of residents in tract 04013040529 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,302.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040529?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 39th, minority 5th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 04013040529 considered part of Kingswood Parke?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040529 fall within Kingswood Parke (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040529?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013040529 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.90% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013040529 struggle to pay rent?
About 2.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013040529 compare to Surprise overall?
Tract 04013040529 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shawnee Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Veramonte
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arapaho Village
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arizona Traditions
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Bell West Ranch
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sierra
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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