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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Kingswood Parke Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013040530 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,659 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013040530 covers part of the Kingswood Parke area of Surprise, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,381
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$88,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Kingswood Parke
Very Low
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Elevated
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#582 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6438, -112.3839 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kingswood Parke scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,797 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Kingswood Parke compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kingswood Parke risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 040530Surprise: 3.23.2Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2005)
  • 18Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130405302001: 14 filings (7.19/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 15 filings (7.71/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (6.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (9.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kingswood Parke. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kingswood Parke

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

At $1,797 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Surprise commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040530

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040530?

Census tract 04013040530 in the Kingswood Parke neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013040530?

Median gross rent is $1,797/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040530?

2.9% of residents in tract 04013040530 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040530?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 50th, minority 49th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 04013040530 considered part of Kingswood Parke?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040530 fall within Kingswood Parke (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040530?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013040530 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013040530 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013040530 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013040530 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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