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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Peterson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe

Tract 04013320007 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,318 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 04013320007 sits in the Peterson area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 6,318 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 32% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units3,214
Renter share71.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$67,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Peterson
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#149 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3717, -111.9530 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peterson scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Peterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Peterson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 320007Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,721Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.7%Peak (2004)
  • 408Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133200072001: 381 filings (24.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 196 filings (12.62/100 renter HHs)2003: 291 filings (18.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 445 filings (28.65/100 renter HHs)2005: 408 filings (22.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peterson. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peterson

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,721 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 28.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 21.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,679, close to the Tempe average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013320007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013320007?

Census tract 04013320007 in the Peterson neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013320007?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013320007?

13.3% of residents in tract 04013320007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,318.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013320007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 10th, minority 70th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 04013320007 considered part of Peterson?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013320007 fall within Peterson (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013320007?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,721 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013320007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.42% of renter households, peaking at 28.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013320007 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013320007 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013320007 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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