Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013421901 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,431
04013421901 is a census tract in Mesa, AZ. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,431 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3970, -111.8142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 455Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.9%Peak (2005)
- 107Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.5%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 26.2%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Mesa
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.2% against 11.3% nationally.
38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Court records carry 455 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Housing insecurity runs 21.3% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 21.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 17.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013421901
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421901?
What is the average rent in tract 04013421901?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421901?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421901?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421901?
What share of households in tract 04013421901 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013421901 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.