Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019003003 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,088
Census tract 04019003003 covers part of Tucson, AZ, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,088 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2472, -110.8662 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,957Total filings over 12 yrs
- 16.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.6%Peak (2008)
- 277Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
At $948 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tucson commands. The filing record is not thin: 2,957 evictions over 12 years of observation.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2008 at 24.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 16.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04019003003
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003003?
What is the average rent in tract 04019003003?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003003?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003003?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003003?
What share of households in tract 04019003003 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019003003 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.