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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04019004029 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,298

Census tract 04019004029 belongs to Tucson, Arizona. It is home to 4,298 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,164 a month while the average household earns $59,109 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$59,109

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#82 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#448 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1701, -110.8324 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 004029Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 241Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2005)
  • 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190040292004: 16 filings (5.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 23 filings (4.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 12 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (5.31/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (5.10/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (6.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 22 filings (6.55/100 renter HHs)2016: 20 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2017: 17 filings (4.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 241 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004029

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004029?

Census tract 04019004029 in Tucson scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004029?

Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004029?

16.2% of residents in tract 04019004029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,298.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004029?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 95th, minority 60th, housing 32th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004029?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 241 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004029 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.07% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004029 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004029 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004029 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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