Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills
Tract 04019004718 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
04019004718 is a census tract in the Tierra Serena area of Catalina Foothills, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,342 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$100,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region
Centroid at 32.3159, -110.8839 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra Serena scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5
How Tierra Serena compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 565Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2004)
- 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra Serena
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Court records carry 565 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,202, 15% below the Catalina Foothills average.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 16.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004718
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004718?
Census tract 04019004718 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004718?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004718?
2.0% of residents in tract 04019004718 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,342.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004718?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 81th, minority 56th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004718 considered part of Tierra Serena?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004718 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004718?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004718 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004718 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004718 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?
Tract 04019004718 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills
Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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