Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills
Tract 04019004720 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 1,245 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
04019004720 is a census tract in the Tierra Serena area of Catalina Foothills, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,245. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 3%Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units677
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$105,469
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Tierra Serena
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#17 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Very Low
Within county
25th percentile
#204 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region
Centroid at 32.2988, -110.8672 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra Serena scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,650 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5
How Tierra Serena compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
0%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
13Total filings over 7 yrs
3.44%Avg annual filing rate
12.8%Peak (2016)
2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings climbed 100% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
3.4%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
4.1%Food insecurity
2.6%SNAP enrollment
3.1%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
10.0%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra Serena
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The voucher gap is 20.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Housing insecurity runs 3.4% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 38% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
At $1,650 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Catalina Foothills commands. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 filings here across 7 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004720
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004720?
Census tract 04019004720 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004720?
Median gross rent is $1,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004720?
3.2% of residents in tract 04019004720 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,245.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004720?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 57th, minority 36th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004720 considered part of Tierra Serena?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004720 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004720?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 04019004720 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.44% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004720 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004720 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?
Tract 04019004720 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills
Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.