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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills

Tract 04019004720 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,245 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Eviction risk in Tierra Serena in Catalina Foothills centers on tract 04019004720, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,245 residents. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,650 a month while the average household earns $105,469 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units677
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$105,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Tierra Serena
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
High
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#224 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,487 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.2988, -110.8672 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tierra Serena scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,650 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Tierra Serena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tierra Serena risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 004720Catalina Foothills: 2.32.3Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2016)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047202004: 1 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 1 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (5.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tierra Serena

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004720

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004720?

Census tract 04019004720 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004720?

Median gross rent is $1,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004720?

3.2% of residents in tract 04019004720 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004720?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 57th, minority 36th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004720 considered part of Tierra Serena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004720 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004720?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 04019004720 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.44% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004720 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004720 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004720 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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