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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,101 of 84,120 nationally

Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Moderate , Catalina Foothills

Tract 04019004718 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04019004718 sits in the Tierra Serena neighborhood of Catalina Foothills, Arizona. It has a population of 2,342 and an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). 45% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 12% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,202/month against a median household income of $100,500 — roughly 14% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 23% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$100,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Tierra Serena
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Moderate
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank — 36th percentileBottomTop
#173 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#513 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.3159, -110.8839 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tierra Serena scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Tierra Serena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tierra Serena risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 004718Catalina Foothills: 4.84.8Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 565Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 — 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047182004: 95 filings (16.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 57 filings (13.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 48 filings (11.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 67 filings (15.47/100 renter HHs)2008: 52 filings (12.01/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2010: 37 filings (7.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 51 filings (13.39/100 renter HHs)2012: 64 filings (16.80/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (9.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 27 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004718

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004718?

Census tract 04019004718 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004718?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004718?

2.0% of residents in tract 04019004718 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,342.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004718?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 81th, minority 56th, housing 34th.

Q5

Is tract 04019004718 considered part of Tierra Serena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004718 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004718?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004718 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004718 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04019004718 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004718 scores 5.3/10 — higher than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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