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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Tierra Serena Eviction Risk: Lower , Catalina Foothills

Tract 04019004718 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,342 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04019004718 belongs to the Tierra Serena area of Catalina Foothills, Arizona. It is home to 2,342 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,202 a month against an average household income of $100,500 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 23% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$100,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Tierra Serena
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 17 tracts In Catalina Foothills
Elevated
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#227 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,515 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Catalina Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.3159, -110.8839 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tierra Serena scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Catalina Foothills
3.5

How Tierra Serena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tierra Serena risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 004718Catalina Foothills: 2.32.3Catalina Foothillsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 565Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047182004: 95 filings (16.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 57 filings (13.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 48 filings (11.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 67 filings (15.47/100 renter HHs)2008: 52 filings (12.01/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2010: 37 filings (7.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 51 filings (13.39/100 renter HHs)2012: 64 filings (16.80/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (9.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 27 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tierra Serena. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tierra Serena

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 565 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 10.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.1% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004718

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004718?

Census tract 04019004718 in the Tierra Serena neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004718?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004718?

2.0% of residents in tract 04019004718 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,342.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004718?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 81th, minority 56th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004718 considered part of Tierra Serena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004718 fall within Tierra Serena (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004718?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004718 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004718 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004718 compare to Catalina Foothills overall?

Tract 04019004718 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Catalina Foothills at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Catalina Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Catalina Foothills

Top eight tracts in Catalina Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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