Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Barrio Hollywood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019000200 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,257 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04019000200 covers part of the Barrio Hollywood area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,257. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 32% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate39.1%
Median income$41,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Barrio Hollywood
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2247, -110.9871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Barrio Hollywood scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
39.1% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,134 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Barrio Hollywood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Barrio Hollywood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000200Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,710Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 10.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2004)
  • 58Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190002002004: 228 filings (16.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 215 filings (17.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 188 filings (15.21/100 renter HHs)2007: 171 filings (13.83/100 renter HHs)2008: 187 filings (15.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 157 filings (12.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 98 filings (6.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 119 filings (8.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 127 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2013: 91 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2016: 71 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2017: 58 filings (3.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Barrio Hollywood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Barrio Hollywood

The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $41,389, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The filing record is not thin: 1,710 evictions over 12 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.8% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 16.1% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019000200?

Census tract 04019000200 in the Barrio Hollywood neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019000200?

Median gross rent is $1,134/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019000200?

39.1% of residents in tract 04019000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,257.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 75th, minority 78th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 04019000200 considered part of Barrio Hollywood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019000200 fall within Barrio Hollywood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,710 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.86% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019000200 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019000200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related