Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,224 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tucson
Tract 04019001500 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,904 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 04019001500 sits in the Jefferson Park neighborhood of Tucson, Arizona. It has a population of 5,904 and an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). 68% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 49% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,299/month against a median household income of $41,224 — roughly 38% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,119
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate49.1%
Median income$41,224
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2473, -110.9510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson Park scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
49.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,299 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Jefferson Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 438Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2006)
- 26Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 21.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04019001500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001500?
Census tract 04019001500 in the Jefferson Park neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019001500?
Median gross rent is $1,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001500?
49.1% of residents in tract 04019001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,904.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 3th, minority 45th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 04019001500 considered part of Jefferson Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001500 fall within Jefferson Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 438 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019001500 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019001500 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019001500 scores 6.5/10 — higher than the parent city of Tucson at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
West University
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
West University
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pie Allen
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Related