Jefferson Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Pima County average of 43.8%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 49%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $41,224 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 438 filings here across 12 tracked years. At $1,299 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Tucson commands.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 5.3% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.