Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Dunbar Spring Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019000300 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,314 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 04019000300 covers part of the Dunbar Spring area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,314 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.6/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units725
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$56,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2323, -110.9772 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dunbar Spring scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$978 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Dunbar Spring compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 135Total filings over 12 yrs
- 3.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2007)
- 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 17.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dunbar Spring
Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 135 filings here across 12 tracked years.
At $978 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Tucson commands. The worst year on record was 2007, when 4.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019000300?
Census tract 04019000300 in the Dunbar Spring neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019000300?
Median gross rent is $978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019000300?
34.6% of residents in tract 04019000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 20th, minority 74th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 04019000300 considered part of Dunbar Spring?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019000300 fall within Dunbar Spring (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019000300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.02% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019000300 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019000300 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Samos
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Miramonte
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
West University
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004117
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rincon Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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