Keeling Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pima County average of 43.8%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $31,730, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally. At $901 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Tucson commands.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Court records carry 2,190 eviction filings across 12 observed years.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.