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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Keeling Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,091 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.2–6.3

Keeling is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Tucson with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,091 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $872/month sits 24% lower than the Tucson citywide average ($1,145).

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Keeling vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.3% +87%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$872 -24%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$32,627 -40%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
31.5% +67%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
78.8% +64%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Keeling and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.2–6.3

Why Keeling scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
31.5% below poverty line · Range 7.7–8.0 across tracts
7.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–1.6 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Keeling vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Keeling score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Keeling: 6.36.3KeelingNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Keeling

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019001304 6.3 5,034 65% $855
04019002603 6.2 3,057 55% $901
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Keeling

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,562Total filings (sum)
  • 13.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.6%Peak year (2008)
  • 12.73%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keeling

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Keeling

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Keeling?

Keeling scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Keeling compare to Tucson overall?

Keeling scores 3.1 points higher than Tucson overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $872 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Keeling?

Average gross rent in Keeling is $872/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Keeling residents are renters?

79% of Keeling households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 8,091 residents.
Q5

Is Keeling a high social-vulnerability area?

Keeling sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Keeling have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Keeling is census tract 04019001304 (score 6.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 6.3, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Keeling for landlords?

Keeling carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Keeling?

Keeling has 7,682 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Keeling

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Keeling.

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