2 census tracts · pop 8,091 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Keeling spans 2 census tracts of Tucson, AZ, population 8,091. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Tucson baseline of 32.8%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.
The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Set annual rent against average household income of $32,627 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $872, 24% below the Tucson average of $1,145. SNAP participation is 30.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Running hot is economic stress at 7.9/10. 21.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
Court records carry 4,562 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 21.6% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 14.3% in 2017 against a 21.6% peak.
With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Keeling vs TucsonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Keeling
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4,562Total filings (sum)
13.30%Avg annual filing rate
21.6%Peak year (2008)
12.73%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keeling
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.6%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility shutoff threat
32.3%Food insecurity
29.1%SNAP enrollment
21.0%No health insurance
42.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Keeling
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Keeling?
Keeling scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Keeling compare to Tucson overall?
Keeling scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $872 vs $1,145.
Q3
What is the average rent in Keeling?
Average gross rent in Keeling is $872/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Keeling residents are renters?
79% of Keeling households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 8,091 residents.
Q5
Is Keeling a high social-vulnerability area?
Keeling sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Keeling have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Keeling is census tract 04019001304 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Keeling for landlords?
Keeling carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Keeling?
Keeling has 7,682 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
