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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tucson

Tract 04019001801 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,809 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04019001801 covers the Palo Verde neighborhood of Tucson, home to 4,809 residents. For landlords it grades 6.3/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $748 a month while the average household earns $29,512 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 30% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,740
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate39.0%
Median income$29,512

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Palo Verde
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2493, -110.9209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palo Verde scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
39.0% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$748 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Palo Verde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palo Verde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 001801Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,411Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 16.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.5%Peak (2007)
  • 274Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190018012004: 250 filings (15.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 203 filings (12.30/100 renter HHs)2006: 357 filings (21.63/100 renter HHs)2007: 371 filings (22.48/100 renter HHs)2008: 353 filings (21.39/100 renter HHs)2009: 279 filings (16.90/100 renter HHs)2010: 261 filings (13.88/100 renter HHs)2011: 279 filings (13.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 228 filings (11.01/100 renter HHs)2013: 287 filings (13.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 269 filings (15.53/100 renter HHs)2017: 274 filings (15.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,411 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 16.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.5% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019001801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019001801?

Census tract 04019001801 in the Palo Verde neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019001801?

Median gross rent is $748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019001801?

39.0% of residents in tract 04019001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,809.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019001801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 55th, minority 65th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04019001801 considered part of Palo Verde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019001801 fall within Palo Verde (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019001801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,411 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019001801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.17% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019001801 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019001801 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019001801 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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