Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 20,142 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 1.9–2.5

San Tan Heights is a white-hispanic neighborhood in San Tan Valley with 4 census tracts and a population of 20,142 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,957/month sits 6% lower than the San Tan Valley citywide average ($2,085).

Risk score

2.2

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

San Tan Heights vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.6% +58%

San Tan Valley: 28.2%

Average gross rent

$1,957 -6%

San Tan Valley: $2,085

Average HH income

$99,737 +7%

San Tan Valley: $93,642

Poverty rate

7.6% +1%

San Tan Valley: 7.6%

Renter share

14.5% -19%

San Tan Valley: 17.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.9–2.5

Why San Tan Heights scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

15% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Economic stress

7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–6.2 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

San Tan Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in San Tan Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 1.9 to 2.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.5 2.1 2.1 1.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in San Tan Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04021000221	2.5	5,420	51%	$2,181
04021000222	2.1	6,588	56%	$1,860
04021000225	2.1	2,778	39%	$2,128
04021000223	1.9	5,356	27%	$1,762

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 52%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 6%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in San Tan Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.2%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility shutoff threat
15.1%Food insecurity
9.6%SNAP enrollment
10.9%No health insurance
28.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About San Tan Heights

What is the eviction-risk score for San Tan Heights?

San Tan Heights scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does San Tan Heights compare to San Tan Valley overall?

San Tan Heights scores 0.4 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,957 vs $2,085.

What is the average rent in San Tan Heights?

Average gross rent in San Tan Heights is $1,957/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of San Tan Heights residents are renters?

15% of San Tan Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 20,142 residents.

Is San Tan Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

San Tan Heights sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in San Tan Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in San Tan Heights is census tract 04021000221 (score 2.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.9 to 2.5, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is San Tan Heights for landlords?

San Tan Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of San Tan Heights?

San Tan Heights has 19,972 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.7%), Hispanic / Latino (31.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near San Tan Heights

2 Johnson Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,131 2.3 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099 2.6 Copper Basin 2 tracts · pop 12,617 2 Pecan Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,125 3.3 Arizona Grande 2 tracts · pop 6,373 3.2 Sunrise Canyon 2 tracts · pop 5,680

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to San Tan Heights.

2.2 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099 2.3 Pecan Creek South 1 tracts · pop 7,059 2 Castlegate 1 tracts · pop 4,940 2 Pecan Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,125 2 Johnson Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,131 2.5 Copper Basin 2 tracts · pop 12,617

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