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Neighborhood · Apache Junction, AZ

Carefree Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,174 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Carefree Manor maps to a single census tract in Apache Junction, AZ, population 3,174. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 49% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

63% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Apache Junction rate of 32.3%. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $786, 31% below the Apache Junction average of $1,146. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #5 of 11 neighborhoods in Apache Junction.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carefree Manor vs Apache Junction How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.3% +96%
Apache Junction: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$786 -31%
Apache Junction: $1,146
Average HH income
$61,174 +4%
Apache Junction: $58,619
Poverty rate
17.3% +57%
Apache Junction: 11.0%
Renter share
14.7% -30%
Apache Junction: 21.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carefree Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Carefree Manor scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
17.3% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Carefree Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carefree Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carefree Manor: 4.74.7Carefree ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carefree Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000321 4.7 3,174 63% $786
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carefree Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carefree Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carefree Manor?

Carefree Manor scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carefree Manor compare to Apache Junction overall?

Carefree Manor scores 1.1 points higher than Apache Junction overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $786 vs $1,146.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carefree Manor?

Average gross rent in Carefree Manor is $786/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carefree Manor residents are renters?

15% of Carefree Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Apache Junction). The neighborhood has 3,174 residents.
Q5

Is Carefree Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Carefree Manor sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carefree Manor for landlords?

Carefree Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Apache Junction as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carefree Manor?

Carefree Manor has 3,014 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.2%), Hispanic / Latino (29.4%), Other / Multiracial (0.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carefree Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Apache Junction

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carefree Manor.

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