Neighborhood · Casa Grande, AZ

Villago Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,792 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.4–5

Villago is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Casa Grande with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,792 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,643/month sits 19% higher than the Casa Grande citywide average ($1,386).

Risk score

3.9

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Villago vs Casa Grande How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.8% +74%

Casa Grande: 34.4%

Average gross rent

$1,643 +19%

Casa Grande: $1,386

Average HH income

$76,032 +15%

Casa Grande: $66,354

Poverty rate

10.1% -28%

Casa Grande: 14.1%

Renter share

23.6% -13%

Casa Grande: 27.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Villago and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–5

Why Villago scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

24% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Economic stress

10.1% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.8 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.3 across tracts

3.9

Risk score comparison

Villago vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Villago

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04021001308	5	2,250	50%	$915
04021001310	3.4	4,542	65%	$2,003

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 77%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Villago

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.3%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility shutoff threat
21.1%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
15.9%No health insurance
34.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Villago

What is the eviction-risk score for Villago?

Villago scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Villago compare to Casa Grande overall?

Villago scores 1.1 points higher than Casa Grande overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,643 vs $1,386.

What is the average rent in Villago?

Average gross rent in Villago is $1,643/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Villago residents are renters?

24% of Villago households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Casa Grande). The neighborhood has 6,792 residents.

Is Villago a high social-vulnerability area?

Villago sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Villago have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Villago is census tract 04021001308 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is Villago for landlords?

Villago carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casa Grande as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Villago?

Villago has 7,689 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (39.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Villago

4.1 Tamaron 4 tracts · pop 19,718 2.1 Santa Rosa Springs 2 tracts · pop 8,124 2.3 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099 2 Rancho El Dorado 2 tracts · pop 11,067 2 Johnson Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,131 2.2 San Tan Heights 4 tracts · pop 20,142

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Casa Grande

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Villago.

4.1 Los Portales 1 tracts · pop 4,451 4.2 Tamaron 4 tracts · pop 19,718 3.5 Mission Royale 1 tracts · pop 2,535

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