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Neighborhood · Casa Grande, AZ

Villago Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,792 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.2–5.4

Villago spans 2 census tracts of Casa Grande, AZ, population 6,792. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 34.4% citywide, putting Villago 25.4% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 5.4, a 2.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.5/10. At $1,643 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Casa Grande commands.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. 18.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #4 of 4 neighborhoods in Casa Grande.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Los Portales and Tamaron score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $76,032.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Villago vs Casa Grande How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.8% +74%
Casa Grande: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$1,643 +19%
Casa Grande: $1,386
Average HH income
$76,032 +15%
Casa Grande: $66,354
Poverty rate
10.1% -28%
Casa Grande: 14.1%
Renter share
23.6% -13%
Casa Grande: 27.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Villago and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.2–5.4

Why Villago scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.8 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.3 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Villago vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Villago score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Villago: 3.93.9VillagoNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Villago

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021001308 5.4 2,250 50% $915
04021001310 3.2 4,542 65% $2,003
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Villago

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Villago

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Villago?

Villago scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Villago compare to Casa Grande overall?

Villago scores 0.1 points lower than Casa Grande overall (4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,643 vs $1,386.
Q3

What is the average rent in Villago?

Average gross rent in Villago is $1,643/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Villago residents are renters?

24% of Villago households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Casa Grande). The neighborhood has 6,792 residents.
Q5

Is Villago a high social-vulnerability area?

Villago sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Villago have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Villago is census tract 04021001308 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.4, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Villago for landlords?

Villago carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casa Grande as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Villago?

Villago has 7,689 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (39.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Villago

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Casa Grande

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Villago.

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